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According to published reports (see [1]), 5 million people left Wuhan before the quarantine was implemented. [1] https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/articl
by lsllc 7y ago
According to published reports (see [1]), 5 million people left Wuhan before the quarantine was implemented.
[1] https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3047720/chinese-premier-li-keqiang-head-coronavirus-crisis-team-outbreak https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3047720/chin...
- infinity0 7y agoAs I said in a different comment, 5 million people leave Wuhan every year around this time, and the model that made this 99%/25% prediction is using data that already takes into account this mass-migration.