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I think that might be the established thought behind most of the world's nuclear arsenal. No one knows if they might all work. But the fact that some countries
by nirav72 7y ago
I think that might be the established thought behind most of the world's nuclear arsenal. No one knows if they might all work. But the fact that some countries have them will give their adversaries second thought. See North Korea as an example. They tested one crude device few years ago. But no one outside of the NK regime know for sure if their nukes are deployable with a delivery system. But it doesn't matter. The fact that they have the capability makes even the U S pause and consider if regime change is a viable option there.
- baybal2 7y agoThat's a special case. The most likely case for somebody other than a great power making a nuclear arsenal, and ever thinking of nuclear first strike will be somebody: 1. Living in a very bad neighbourhood 2. Being extremely secretive 3. Not having reputation for bluffing, considering winning a war a matter of existential national importance If we are to see military use of nukes happening this century, most likely you will see it where you never saw it coming, in a scenario of extreme power imbalance. Saying this again, for anybody who is desperate enough to bet on a nuke for a military advantage, is already in such a dire straight, that they are already pass the point of using atomic weapons as a deterrent. They will hold it as the top military secret till the "day X"
- JumpCrisscross 7y agoA world with broadly-held would have civil wars fought with them.