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> Back in 2015, Urmson said that his goal for autonomous vehicles was that things would progress so rapidly that his 11-year old son would not need to get a dri
by pwinnski 7y ago
> Back in 2015, Urmson said that his goal for autonomous vehicles was that things would progress so rapidly that his 11-year old son would not need to get a driver’s license. Now, he has a more measured prediction: over the next five years, we’ll start to see commercial fleets of autonomous vehicles piloting people and goods. After that, we could start to see broad adoption.
So five years ago, he was sure we were five years away. Now he's sure we are five years away. How is this a "more measured prediction?" Because instead of completely generalized self-driving used by everyone, he's predicting... completely generalized self-driving used only by companies?
I predict that five years from now, Umson will have a more measured prediction that is still somehow five years away.
- redwood 7y ago5 vs 10