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tl;dr This old Pandemic II meme fluffed in scientific jargon: https://files.catbox.moe/lenadr.jpg https://files.catbox.moe/lenadr.jpg The only actual purpose o
by nootropicat 7y ago
tl;dr This old Pandemic II meme fluffed in scientific jargon: https://files.catbox.moe/lenadr.jpg https://files.catbox.moe/lenadr.jpg
The only actual purpose of this paper is to advertise Taleb (and his books): Wuhan virus worse than current predictions? He's definitely going to remind people about his "genius" prediction that it could be worse. Turns out to be not such a big deal? Nobody is even going to remember he wrote this.
- armitron 7y agoThat’s not what I got from it at all. The precautionary principle and fat-tailed processes that come with extinction-level risks are real. He makes valid and salient points.
- salty_biscuits 7y agoValid points that are hand wavey, non specific and non quantitative. Basically, you can't estimate parameters because of fat tails so what people are doing is inadequate. Seems trite to me
- mieses 7y agothe search for novelty above all else killed the cat