3 ms·
I'm not sure, this is the only list with detailed info I can find: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1itaohdPiAeniCXNlntNztZ_oRvjh0HsGuJXUJWET008/htmlview#
by abc-xyz 7y ago
I'm not sure, this is the only list with detailed info I can find: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1itaohdPiAeniCXNlntNztZ_oRvjh0HsGuJXUJWET008/htmlview# https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1itaohdPiAeniCXNlntNz..., but even that list is severely lacking in information, and seem to rely on official reports that have proven untrustworthy. I imagine the person I quoted got the information from his nurse friend/family in Wuhan.
Official numbers (2020 confirmed cases, 100 deaths and 49 recoveries as of right now) also seem very worrisome. That's a 20% death rate without taking into account that we still don't know the outcome of the remaining 1871 confirmed cases that has neither died nor recovered.
An optimistic person might say that confirmed cases primarily consist of those showing the most significant symptoms since everyone else would be sent away as there's not enough room at the hospitals. A pessimistic person might say that the government has proven completely untrustworthy and incapable, that the number is much more likely to be ~100.000 as reported by the two nurses, and looking at the many mental breakdowns of medical workers, videos of people collapsing or seemingly lying dead on the ground, the fact that the virus has already spread to numerous countries and throughout all provinces in China, as well as the lockdowns all over the country, then there are reasons to believe the number of infections and deaths are severely under-reported by the government.
- abc-xyz 7y agoCan't edit the comment, but 100 deaths in 2k cases is of course 5% and not 20%.. must have had a brainfart. Anyhow, it's still important to keep in mind that the outcome of the other confirmed cases that hasn't recovered remain unknown, something most people seem to ignore when they say the death rate is 2-7%.