That's talking about ASU. Not the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Once again: so what? How does that make him automatically wrong about this specific issue?

That's talking about ASU. Not the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Once again: so what? How does that make him automatically wrong about this specific issue? I'm still not seeing a substantive rebuttal of his claims, so I'm going to conclude that you just don't have one. I think we're done here.