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Different research groups are providing different estimates. But the estimates of estimates (model averaging) indicates that this epidemic has a good chance of
by jamesblonde 7y ago
Different research groups are providing different estimates. But the estimates of estimates (model averaging) indicates that this epidemic has a good chance of sweeping the globe. Containment is needed to prevent it sweeping the globe, so we are at the mercy of the Chinese authorities...
- SubiculumCode 7y agoWe could pause international travel...but no one will make that decision until its already here..so
- Fomite 7y agoMy group's estimated R0 for MERS was very securely in the same ballpark. There's a lot more needed for "sweeping the globe" than a single R0 measurement in a single context (R0 isn't actually a biological constant, despite people treating it like it is).
- beaunative 7y agoMore likely at the mercy of mother nature.