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How many attacks with the scale and sophistication needed to pull off something like that have we seen in the last 10 years in the West? I mean, how many succe
by arcturus17 7y ago
How many attacks with the scale and sophistication needed to pull off something like that have we seen in the last 10 years in the West?
I mean, how many successful terrorist attacks on nuclear plants have we really seen?
- ainiriand 7y agoYou are right, my fears might be unjustified. But fear is not rational =(
- eeZah7Ux 7y ago> I mean, how many successful terrorist attacks on nuclear plants have we really seen? This is the best example of survivor bias I've seen in a while.
- arcturus17 7y agoFrom Wiki: "Survivorship bias or survival bias is the logical error of concentrating on the people or things that made it past some selection process and overlooking those that did not, typically because of their lack of visibility" Can you point me to an example that is being overlooked? The probabilities of a successful terrorist attack on a nuclear plant are very thin given the extreme security measures around them, and that's a fact. Thinking that, despite a basic probability being extremely small, "it's still possible", and thus assigning the event a larger probability than it naturally has, now that's an error.