Many analysts have run the numbers. ARK Invest is an example of one bullish fund with open numbers - typically bears anticipate only ice auto revenue and margin

Many analysts have run the numbers. ARK Invest is an example of one bullish fund with open numbers - typically bears anticipate only ice auto revenue and margins and thus compare to Toyota say as you have, and bulls anticipate Tesla dominating multiple markets (EV, Domestic energy, RoboTaxis), and bringing battery costs down. Forecasting single stocks 5-10 years out is notoriously difficult though, so the range of opinions is not surprising. https://ark-invest.com/research/tesla-valuation-model https://ark-invest.com/research/tesla-valuation-model