4 ms·
Recessions happen somewhat cyclically because imbalances build up in the economy that ultimately cause some sort of dislocation. The same is not true in virolo
by koheripbal 7y ago
Recessions happen somewhat cyclically because imbalances build up in the economy that ultimately cause some sort of dislocation.
The same is not true in virology. There is no "pent up" mechanism that needs to periodically release an outbreak.
It is entirely random and in these types of outbreaks simply becomes more likely when many animal species exist in close proximity, allowing virus cross-over. It's no coincidence this happened in a live animal market.
One exception to cyclic nature is immunity. In cases where the same disease outbreaks because the human population is no longer immune - ie the Black Death which returned every couple generations in the old world. ...but that phenomenon only applies to SAME disease returning - not different ones.
- mrtksn 7y agoMaybe the mechanism is in the cynicism. After some time people forget why they are freaking out over something that never happened as far as they remember. A bit like the Y2K bug that was supposed to end the world but nothing happened but nothing happened because we took measures successfully. There are many people out there using this as an example of alarmist to draw parallels with the climate change concerns. Maybe we as a species need to have people around who remember things and when they are gone we simply re-learn the lessons. Writing seems to be effective on passing the knowledge on how to do or avoid things but not very effective about the reasons.
- autokad 7y agoblack plague in England was on a 20 year cycle I hear.
- btilly 7y agoRecessions happen somewhat cyclically because imbalances build up in the economy that ultimately cause some sort of dislocation. Actually recessions seem to be driven by random events. Our brains impose a cyclic explanation on what is actually a stochastic process. See https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/research-and-data/publications/economic-insights/2019/q1/eiq119-predicting-recessions.pdf https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/research-and-data/pu... for more.
- glofish 7y agoI think is more about the perceptions and at what point does the media and people start to pay attention aka "flu scare". I have the feeling it has nothing to do with the actual number of people that are sickened.