4 ms·
Can you define what you mean by "the end of email" please. Do you literally mean no use of protocols like smtp, imap and pop? Or do you figuratively mean no use
by mooism2 16y ago
Can you define what you mean by "the end of email" please. Do you literally mean no use of protocols like smtp, imap and pop? Or do you figuratively mean no use, so a 90%/95%/99% reduction in legitimate (non-spam) use?
It's worth noting that mailing lists could have been replaced by blogs and web-based forums a decade ago, but they were not. Before that, usenet was arguably superior to mailing lists, but it was usenet that died out{1} and mailing lists survived and thrived.
It's worth noting too that though newspapers are being killed off by the internet+tv+radio, they are still around, and will continue to be around for much more than a decade, despite repeated predictions of their imminent demise.
So, even if you can persuade me that e-mail will die out (you haven't), I will remain sceptical that it will happen within 10 years. Certainly not within 5.
{1}: Usenet is still around. Apparently.
P.S. "Email's a standard dating back to the 1970's, but amazingly continues to be widely used..." AM radio dates back even further and continues to be widely used also, despite the long-available superior technology of FM radio.
- epynonymous 16y agogreat points, it's more figurative, i just needed a catchy title ;) i think social app communication features are much more usable than email, there's also a linkage between users in social apps that can be leveraged to provide even higher levels of usability: CRM integration with contact management, calendar, customer support, etc. imagine that your company got rid of email altogether and used something like a facebook app for all communications. i view facebook and social apps as a communication tool with multiple dimensions as compared to email, a social app being a superset of email. so why carry forward email, other than that it's a legacy standard being used by a lot of users at the moment. imagine business cards of the future: Name Social App ID there would obviously be some time before this would effectively take hold of the greater amounts of users, but i think that time is soon. if facebook added an administrative interface and made it multi-tenented, the pitch could be to throw out your exchange server over time. i'm not sure what the worth to their strategy would be in the future to take on enterprise users, but i imagine it's quite valuable.
- mooism2 16y agoI think it is more likely that social network sites will incorporate e-mail clients that come preintegrated with calendars etc. E-mail would be part of how different social networking sites interoperate. E-mail is a patchwork of proven standards. E-mail might vanish into the plumbing of the internet --- as ip addresses have and urls might --- but it will still be there. If my company got rid of e-mail altogether and used Facebook instead, we'd lose customers. Catchy titles grab attention, but they obscure meaning. I still don't know what you are predicting.
- epynonymous 16y agoi answered in another thread so didn't feel like repeating; but basically you'd need a phased approach to get off email, it wouldn't happen overnight. from day one at company x, you'd get an email address and social id, you'd have both mechanisms for communication. over time the benefits of a social app would most likely outweigh the benefits of email and a natural progression would occur, i.e. lots of companies will start to adopt it. i use email now only because it's a legacy standard though this is definitely decreasing in favor of social apps. this is analogous to television and internet. my prediction is that a social app will take over email as the primary internet communication method and you will start to see this manifest itself very soon, even inside of corporations.