> It would be more interesting to see the total amount of vans purchased in the country and how many of them are 2010 models, 2000 models, 1990 models, etc. Wh

> It would be more interesting to see the total amount of vans purchased in the country and how many of them are 2010 models, 2000 models, 1990 models, etc. What I quoted was annual new van sales. ~500k new vans purchased per year, growing at about 5% per year. A massive operating efficiency improvement might draw forward some new purchases / push existing vans into early retirement. Cost savings would definitely not be anywhere near an order of magnitude, but e.g. if TCO could go from $0.55 a mile conceivably to $0.40 a mile that would be very compelling. (Based on 15,000 miles a year, that would mean $8,250 goes to $6,000, saving $2,250) Note that TCO is including financing, taxes, insurance, depreciation, maintenance, repairs, and fuel. Fuel is about 30% of the TCO, so cutting fuel costs has a large effect. Depreciation on vans (after the first year) is pretty meager. Cratering resale value of ICE vans in the face of cheaper to operate EV vans will accelerate the transition to EV vans, but there’s still an adoption curve and an infrastructure challenge to face. The market share for EV vans is essentially 0 today.