3 ms·
Difference between 97% and 99.99% in perception is huge for autonomous driving purposes. 300x less likely to cause an accident.
by tintor 7y ago
Difference between 97% and 99.99% in perception is huge for autonomous driving purposes. 300x less likely to cause an accident.
- stefan_ 7y agoRemember those performances are for very constrained, some might say artificial tasks of specifically image recognition into categories. Your Tesla might be 99.99% in recognizing red lights but will continue to drive straight into paper boxes in its immediate path.
- dpflan 7y agoDo you know of any good resources to learn more about this idea of the rate of improvement of perception per percentage point?
- xyhopguy 7y agohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds_ratio https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds_ratio odds of crash a => 97% => 3 / 100 odds of crash for b => 99.99% => 1 / 10000 improvement (odds ratio in this case) is then 300x = odds of crash for b / odds of crash for a
- FartyMcFarter 7y agoThat may be true at a given moment, but how about time? I usually don't care about the probability that I'll crash within the next millisecond, but I do care about the probability that I'll crash over a whole trip.