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> And of course this is an area where complete automation is on the horizon. The tech exists, it's getting close to ready for large scale deployment and big pl
by VHRanger 7y ago
> And of course this is an area where complete automation is on the horizon. The tech exists, it's getting close to ready for large scale deployment and big players are working on it.
That's incorrect. We're really far off still from level 5 self driving cars if you follow developments in that area.
However, the major task in the truck driving job (highway driving) is automatable already. Other ones (urban maneuvering, loading/unloading, etc.) are much harder to automate.
> That said the article goes on to focus on what I think is one of the key points in the automation conversation: wealth inequality.
I'm the author, thanks for echoing my reading on the dynamics.
People focus on an imaginary problem when a very real one is happening underneath our noses.
- post_below 7y agoThe rate at which we're approaching full self driving capability (especially with trucking where, for many routes, it's almost all freeway driving) is fast enough that it's safe to say those 3.5 million truckers will not be ready for the change. Even if it takes 10 years they won't be ready for it. And that's just the easiest example. Past revolutions which have decreased the cost to provide basic needs happened considerably slower than the digital revolution is happening. I don't think it's an imaginary problem at all. Overblown yes, I completely agree... but if that's what it takes to keep the conversation moving, I'm ok with that. The urgency, I think, is not "all the jobs will go away tomorrow", but that it's a big enough problem that the time to start solving it is now. And unfortunately the world is really loud these days, it takes volume to be heard over the noise.
- ggffryuuj 7y agoYeah just like we’re nowhere close to go. According to the experts.