IMO it's also really obscure, 20 in 6 million. That's about 0.0000003 chance. Isn't there a base rate? If anyone does something anything new that's as big as

IMO it's also really obscure, 20 in 6 million. That's about 0.0000003 chance. Isn't there a base rate? If anyone does something anything new that's as big as visiting Paris while coming from Japan, then I'd venture to guess that 1 in 6 million will get a psychiatric disorder. I mean, the chance is so low that I dare to guess that it might be the base rate.