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Ok, so your saying that Kurzweil's prediction is simply that exponential growth will continue until beyond the singularity? If that is the case I don't really
by SimonPStevens 16y ago
Ok, so your saying that Kurzweil's prediction is simply that exponential growth will continue until beyond the singularity?
If that is the case I don't really see how there is any logic in his claims. I understand that he has extrapolated an exponential curve, and I can see the potential of future tech if that exponential growth was to continue, but I don't really see what basis he has to claim that the exponential curve will not end tomorrow. I'm not saying that it will end tomorrow, I'm just saying that you can't base a prediction on the idea that exponential growth will continue because you have absolutely zero data about when it's likely end is.
- jerf 16y ago"Ok, so your saying that Kurzweil's prediction is simply that exponential growth will continue until beyond the singularity?" Why don't you stop waiting for me to tell you and spend some honest time with the ideas? Of course you don't see how there is any logic to his claims, you haven't seen his claims at all. Or, alternatively, realize you don't know what they are and decide not to worry about it. This is fine too. No joke. There are all kinds of times when I take this option. It's not bad to not know somebody's opinions, or criticize them when you know them; the problem is in the criticism when you don't actually know them.