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On a long enough timeline the memory of Marcus Aurelius will extinguish.
by andreilys 7y ago
On a long enough timeline the memory of Marcus Aurelius will extinguish.
- reroute1 7y ago“On a long enough time line, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.”
- OscarCunningham 7y agoThat's a strong claim given that we don't yet fully understand the laws of physics.
- andreilys 7y agoIt's a pretty open-ended claim, I'm happy to hear your rebuttal though if you think Marcus Auerlis will be remembered 1,000 to 1 billion+ years from now.
- mentos 7y agoWhat if the universe repeats itself? "What we do in life, echoes in eternity"
- OscarCunningham 7y agoIf humanity survives, which isn't guaranteed but has some chance, then I think it's almost certain that there will be people who care about early writers, in the same way that classicists exist today.
- andreilys 7y ago“On a long enough time line, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.”
- OscarCunningham 7y agohttps://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/reports/2012-1.pdf https://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/reports/2012-1.pdf > If an individual entity endures a fixed probability μ < 1 of disappearing (”dying”) in a given fixed time period, then, as time approaches infinity, the probability of death approaches certainty. One approach to avoid this fate is for individuals to copy themselves into different locations; if the copies each have an independent probability of dying, then the total risk is much reduced. However, to avoid the same ultimate fate, the entity must continue copying itself to continually reduce the risk of death. In this paper, we show that to get a non-zero probability of ultimate survival, it suffices that the number of copies grows logarithmically with time. Accounting for expected copy casualties, the required rate of copying is hence bounded.