okay one more time... I am not trying to convince you to try or not. I am pointing out humans systemically discount of luck as a factor in achieving success. I

okay one more time... I am not trying to convince you to try or not. I am pointing out humans systemically discount of luck as a factor in achieving success. I suggest this might benefit groups more then individuals. And this group effect might be why this distortion persists. It might be true that the only way to be successful is by ignoring elements you can't control (like luck) and without this no one would try anything. Ask a startup what their odds of success are. I guarantee that they'll give you a much better odds vs the objective reality. This delusion has created an economic engine of high-tech startups even if most startups fail (>90%).