5 ms·
“In total during this period, the shutdown of coal-fired units saved an estimated 26,610 (5%–95% confidence intervals (CI), 2,725–49,680) lives.” - https://www.
by jmpman 7y ago
“In total during this period, the shutdown of coal-fired units saved an estimated 26,610 (5%–95% confidence intervals (CI), 2,725–49,680) lives.” - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0453-5 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0453-5
Notice that the cited data, do not include any health statistics.
https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/RIZQUN https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/RIZQUN
The cited github does not exist.
https://github.com/jaburney/naturalgastransition https://github.com/jaburney/naturalgastransition
Searching for user jaburney in github also comes up empty.
It’s hard to validate her health claims, but let’s say that her low end number of 2725 is valid.
At 25,000 coal miners, and let’s say 25,000 coal plant operators (250 plants * 100 employees per plant) for a total of 50,000 employees impacted. If each of those employees is in a 4 person family, then 200,000 people could have been impacted. If just 3% of those people died due to addiction, the numbers are equal.
Please don’t interpret my compassion for the unemployed coal miners, coal plant operators, and train engineers as a dismissal of global warming. The transition to carbon neutral power needs to happen, but in the process there will be people left behind, including people who are significantly economically impacted, leading to divorce, addiction, homelessness etc.
My comment obviously touched a nerve as many people don’t want to consider the real impact to the workers. And no, they’re not just going to take another bus across town to another plant. They’re not going to relocate. They’re not going to learn to code. They’re going to suffer.
When people question global warming, maybe they’re asking - Are you sure, because people are going to die in the transition?
Maybe more people are dying due to unemployment than are being saved due to lower pollution? Maybe the people who were counted as dying due to pollution were 95 and didn’t make it to 96? While, the 22 year old addict lost over 50 years of their life.
Regardless, these people dying is a fact everyone should be conscious is happening. You vote to close coal power plants, you’re voting to kill these people. There are real consequences.
- philipkglass 7y agoI contacted the author about the missing github repository. It's is available now. The initial push failed because some data files are too large for github. She's presently separated the data files from the plain code in the repo and put the data on dropbox.