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But this doesn't hold for things like languages, adoption of new tech over old (no matter how prominent it is) happens all the time, but it usually starts at th

But this doesn't hold for things like languages, adoption of new tech over old (no matter how prominent it is) happens all the time, but it usually starts at the small scale, like start-ups. It definitely takes a hell of a long time, and it would probably never usurp 100% of gits usership (or even 50%), but it will probably be used in some capacity. Of course Java's still as big as ever, but we have seen an uptick in relatively new languages still coming into use (I think of things like Elm/Elixir).

int_19h 7y ago
There was always an "uptick in relatively new languages coming into use", as long as I remember. The problem is that most of them die before they mature, and some achieve a "peak cool" but then fade into obscurity, or find a relatively small niche. Very few new languages ever get popular enough to get into the top 10 on a permanent basis, and even fewer displace a large player that was previously popular. Meanwhile, most code running on any given computing device is still written in C, C++, or Java. The article is basically arguing that we're likely to see the same state of affairs in VCS land. Sure, there will still be new ones coming into use, and fading out, or finding small niches - but Git will remain dominant for decades to come.