4 ms·
No, that's unfair. If I pre-register my hypothesis, run good methods, and conclude at the p < 0.01, I did things well. I should expect to get some 1% of my stud
by scarejunba 7y ago
No, that's unfair. If I pre-register my hypothesis, run good methods, and conclude at the p < 0.01, I did things well. I should expect to get some 1% of my studies to fail to reproduce. That means that I routinely do not fail to reproduce but failing a few repros over my career is normal.
The real problem is the other guy who didn't pre-register the same hypothesis that he tested. So we don't know that I got it by chance until the repro failed.