4 ms·
> That you are supposedly informed makes this worse, because if true, you know ISIS/Al-Qaeda have zero chances of prospering in Iran yet still made that argumen
by emilsedgh 7y ago
> That you are supposedly informed makes this worse, because if true, you know ISIS/Al-Qaeda have zero chances of prospering in Iran yet still made that argument.
You seem to assume ISIS penetrated Iraq because Iraq was Sunni and people accepted ISIS.
ISIS would penetrate _anywhere_ that is unstable enough to be penetrated.
- yyyk 7y agoISIS is a terrorist organization without heavy weapons or real logistical capability. It can't take over in an environment which is almost 100% non-Sunni (no local recruits) and so far from its home bases or international routes (no logistics).
- emilsedgh 7y agoIran is 10% Sunni. And the Sunni parts are close to Iraq's border. Also, you are forgetting the potential this area has for development of new similar groups. Iran even had similar groups formed within it's own territory which are still active: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jundallah_(Iran) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jundallah_(Iran) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jaish_ul-Adl https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jaish_ul-Adl https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harakat_Ansar_Iran https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harakat_Ansar_Iran https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ansar_Al-Furqan https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ansar_Al-Furqan
- yyyk 7y agoThe Baluchi cause (the subject of all your links) is a nationalist cause sometimes pretending to be a religious cause. If a Baluchi group ever got any significant power it would be a massive headache for Pakistan but it's not really a concern for the West. ISIS and al-Qaeda never managed to make much headway in the Kurdish areas. What's left? Ahvaz? Which borders Basra and is controlled with an iron fist?