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Unlike the space race, where Russia and the US were significantly ahead of everyone else, the field is far more level in AI. Arguably there will be areas where

Unlike the space race, where Russia and the US were significantly ahead of everyone else, the field is far more level in AI. Arguably there will be areas where the US could even be behind in some areas. Wonder what the real world impact of this will be. Not much, I expect.

_iyig 7y ago
>Wonder what the real world impact of this will be. Not much, I expect. Here's a thought experiment I use to imagine the impact of AI: Imagine you've got a million people at your disposal. At zero cost and with no downtime, these people can remotely operate robots, understand text, interact using natural language, or classify objects in images, all with human-level intelligence and accuracy. Now what? Obviously there are areas where AI can outperform humans, like mechanical accuracy and mathematical computation. But in general, I find this experiment works pretty well.
- tomp 7y ago
  Now imagine doing crowd control. 10 frames per second, 100k people, if you need just 1 second to recognize a face, you’ve just saturated your 1m human-AI. The point of digital AI is that it can scale, almost indefinitely.
  - _iyig 7y ago
    OK, then imagine 100 billion people. Scale isn't the point of the experiment - the point is bounding expectations based on probable (maximal?) capabilities. Perhaps a post-Singularity AI will have wild capabilities beyond our comprehension, but that is outside the scope of this experiment.
  - jefftk 7y ago
    You don't need to recognize every face on every frame. People move slowly compared to 10hz, so tracking "this is a person moving around" is way easier than identifying faces anew every frame.
antpls 7y ago
USA is probably still ahead of the rest of the world regarding IA, thanks to Google. Google sits on a massive amount of text, video and speech data. Google is one of the biggest coordinated entity (regarding business, data, hardware and software) on Earth aimed at advancing AI. The only rival in term of budget and data is probably China with a few state-sponsored companies together (Huawei + Alibaba + Tencent). All other countries probably have smart researchers and engineers, but no one has the data machine that Google has...

_iyig 7y ago

>Wonder what the real world impact of this will be. Not much, I expect. Here's a thought experiment I use to imagine the impact of AI: Imagine you've got a million people at your disposal. At zero cost and with no downtime, these people can remotely operate robots, understand text, interact using natural language, or classify objects in images, all with human-level intelligence and accuracy. Now what? Obviously there are areas where AI can outperform humans, like mechanical accuracy and mathematical computation. But in general, I find this experiment works pretty well.

tomp 7y ago
Now imagine doing crowd control. 10 frames per second, 100k people, if you need just 1 second to recognize a face, you’ve just saturated your 1m human-AI. The point of digital AI is that it can scale, almost indefinitely.
- _iyig 7y ago
  OK, then imagine 100 billion people. Scale isn't the point of the experiment - the point is bounding expectations based on probable (maximal?) capabilities. Perhaps a post-Singularity AI will have wild capabilities beyond our comprehension, but that is outside the scope of this experiment.
- jefftk 7y ago
  You don't need to recognize every face on every frame. People move slowly compared to 10hz, so tracking "this is a person moving around" is way easier than identifying faces anew every frame.

antpls 7y ago

USA is probably still ahead of the rest of the world regarding IA, thanks to Google. Google sits on a massive amount of text, video and speech data. Google is one of the biggest coordinated entity (regarding business, data, hardware and software) on Earth aimed at advancing AI. The only rival in term of budget and data is probably China with a few state-sponsored companies together (Huawei + Alibaba + Tencent). All other countries probably have smart researchers and engineers, but no one has the data machine that Google has...