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1. Bitcoin will remain largely as it is today - a niche "currency" not used by many people due to it remaining difficult to use, impossible to insure, and prone
by tallanvor 7y ago
1. Bitcoin will remain largely as it is today - a niche "currency" not used by many people due to it remaining difficult to use, impossible to insure, and prone to large swings in value.
2. Computer assistance will help aid drivers with incremental advances on what they do today - by 2030 most new cars will be able to parallel park for you, as an example, but full self-driving, if available to consumers, will be limited to limited access roads such as highways.
3. AWS and Azure will still be the dominant cloud providers. Google will reduce investment in GCP and it will fall further behind.
4. IBM's purchase of RedHat won't pay off. Over the next 10 years they'll shed 100k employees or more.
5. We'll see fewer streaming service providers by the end of the decade. Amazon may sell off their video service and will be picked up by either NBCUniversal or ViacomCBS. Whoever doesn't get them will at least try for some sort of merger with Netflix.
6. Amazon will release another phone to try and challenge Apple and Google once again.
7. Salesforce will most likely buy Slack. The other most likely bidders I see are IBM, Cisco, and Dell.
Other things that I think are very obvious or already starting:
* TV and movie piracy will increase significantly due to subscription fatigue.
* Libra won't have launched.
* Cloud gaming is 50/50 as to whether or not it will be like VR/AR is today. I actually think it has a better chance of success in parts of Europe and Asia - think Scandinavia, South Korea, and Japan, than in the US. The major internet providers in the US are not interested in providing the quality of service needed for cloud gaming to succeed. Starlink won't offer enough bandwidth to disrupt this space either, although it may see significant adoption in rural areas if enough satellites are launched.