1. Current wave of AI research is dead within 5 years, AI winter commences as semiconductor density growth slows. AI will be able to solve problems, but not for

1. Current wave of AI research is dead within 5 years, AI winter commences as semiconductor density growth slows. AI will be able to solve problems, but not formulate problems (and thus invent solutions). There is only so much to be explored with "we used method x on dataset y and got results" 2. There will not be a huge technological breakthrough, akin to wireless connectivity and cameras in this decade. We will still be using phones and laptops in 10 years. 2. Anti-trust goes mainstream again. Some of big tech gets broken up or regulated. 3. Self driving cars will reach Level 4 slowly. 3. Robots slowly start to grasp "complex" tasks. Folding T-Shirts is a recent development as of 2019. People who are unable to learn fast, keep up and get jobs will begin to more strongly resent the wealthy. Taxes on the wealthy go up, but not enough to curtail the rise of socialism. 4. The USA will stay politically paralyzed. (dems x reps, cities x towns) It will stay attached to its constitution and traditions, just like it was designed to. USA is not the dream country anymore, Europe is looked up on as the dream place for regular people. 5. Low-cost airline tickets will get more expensive, at least there, climate activists will succeeed. 6. Climate change will not be helped by politicians, but by technology. Solar is already cheaper than nuclear/coal/gas and will replace it. Batteries will get cheaper.