Field: Software - Around the start of the decade - - Nearly every old SAAS company would become a platform, offering marketplace and hosting for custom-built

Field: Software - Around the start of the decade - - Nearly every old SAAS company would become a platform, offering marketplace and hosting for custom-built solutions. - Rise of very narrowly focussed software companies. (superhuman for X trend - to me this means - software with an extremely narrow set of features, with a focus on being fast). - Reduced time to market for software products, followed by a decline in the quality of software (performance, security, speed of building features). - A rise in a number of open-source full-fledged-products. - Rise of NoCode, would facilitate the Rise of micro-SAAS. ------------------------------------------------------------ Around the middle of the decade - - Rise of paid Open Source developers. - Rise of IT dept. in the organizations. - Data engineering would be a part of IT. - More organizations would turn to inhouse development. - Rise of FAAS (Feature as a Service) on the top of the SAAS and Open Source, would be facilitated by a small set of teams, serving the Enterprise market. - Every IDE would offer ML-based code-completion. This would be adopted quite quickly by the companies, in hopes that tech-debt would be paid. - Experienced software engineers would consolidate behind the core-tech companies or churn out of the industry. ------------------------------------------------------------ Around the end of the decade - - CS (subject) would just become AI/ML and would follow the path of core engineering degrees, where having a post-grad degree is no longer optional. Would be offered as a combined UG+PG degree. The curriculum would be more or less the same, only the name change would happen for the UG. Universities would struggle to attract candidates in the CS stream as the popularity of lambda school and other boot camps soars. - CS (subject) would be merged with other degrees to offer combined degrees. The curriculum would include the first two years of CS - programming, database, data structure, data engineering, software engineering and some IT subjects around DevOps. - Rise of industry, function-specific NoCode apps/services. - Postgres-Rust - release of Postgres, rewritten in Rust (in general - nGinx, Python, not all, but one of the major tech component) - Day 0 for the Sofware industry. It bottoms out, before rising up again in the next decade. Mythical man-months would be the bible for the new s/w industry. - Day 0 for the distributed internet, distributed apps. - A hardware company, bigger than Intel at its peak. - First truly distributed organization - the start of an experiment. ------------------------------------------------------------ Random Predictions - Nationalist sentiments are on the rise in India, this might force consumer-facing companies to take some drastic measures, such as - Walmart and Amazon to either merge or leave India. - Amazon would peak. - Gold rates would be all-time high. - Mental health issues would be on a rise. - Cloud kitchens/ delivery only restaurants would be the norm. - Ownership would start moving towards digital (digital money, space in VR land, etc). - Expect breakthroughs in quantum computing and the internet. - I hope for some progress in self-configurable robots. - The sharing economy would grow. ============================================================