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1. LEO satellites will provide Internet access worldwide. About 90% of the world's population will be online by 2030. 2. Drastic climate engineering will becom
by salt-licker 7y ago
1. LEO satellites will provide Internet access worldwide. About 90% of the world's population will be online by 2030.
2. Drastic climate engineering will become a mainstream research area and popular controversial talking point.
3. Many more people will get blood tests regularly, for early disease detection and fitness monitoring. Both a Theranos-like fingerprick device and a tampon-based screening company will IPO.
4. AI will be a crucial component in discovering multiple clinical trial-stage drugs.
5. A fully AI musician will go on tour, perhaps with its own lyrics and deepfaked vocals. It will be particularly good at improvisation.
6. To combat deepfakes, public ledger-based verification of photos and videos will become common but not ubiquitous. May or may not be on blockchain.
7. Cryptocurrency-based financial instruments will become a minor part of the global financial system, widely accepted and taken seriously by traditional investors.
8. Metal 3D-printers will start to seriously compete with CNC machining and expendable casting, they will be relatively common in machine shops and factories. Consumer 3D-printing will remain a niche hobby.
9. Flying cars won't really take off.
- prox 7y agoIf the fully AI musician is actually originally programmed as an Emergency Medical Hologram I agree.
- buboard 7y agothats a good band name
- iamatworknow 7y agoI hope he sings more than just opera.
- ShamelessC 7y ago> 6. To combat deepfakes, public ledger-based verification of photos and videos will become common but not ubiquitous. May or may not be on blockchain. Even if you somehow managed to implement this all the way to the camera level, all this does is add more trust to already-reputable journalists. Deep-fakes may become good enough to trick even those journalists, but fact-checking will still eliminate most accidental false reporting for this purpose. Fake news funded by various shady entities already does and will continue to misinform the public wherever it is profitable for them to do so. No doubt they will latch on to deep-fakes at every opportunity for the outrage clicks. The movement to regulate tech may solve this, but it has little momentum. It's a common talking point for democratic candidates currently but only because it's becoming popular among their younger base. "Big-idea" solutions such as breaking up Facebook, regulating political online advertising similarly to TV, etc. may become popular, and even implemented. But I doubt they will actually work properly due to compromises and insane levels of nuance surrounding the technical implementations of these regulations. Maybe "fake news" gets addressed in 2040, but I believe it will get much worse before it gets better.