1. A major cyber event kills over 50k people. Could be over 1 million if it's something as bad as a really bad windows update or a cyber war. 2. China contests

1. A major cyber event kills over 50k people. Could be over 1 million if it's something as bad as a really bad windows update or a cyber war. 2. China contests Nato leadership of the world in a way that makes countries pick one side or the other. 3. Quantum computing becomes mainstream. 4. AI isn't real AGI, but it's much more adaptable and pervasive than it is now. Fewer annoyances in major software products. 5. Push comes to shove with surveillance capitalism. Do we want our cars recording everything and beaming it back to home base or not? I'm not saying it will get outlawed, but it will get decided. 6. A new social network will emerge that's cooler than the existing ones and with some amount of privacy and sheltering from bullies and fake accounts. 7. Webs of trust will finally start to control the gamification of the internet. Star ratings don't work right now, but if you trust your friends and their friends ratings could work again. 8. Rights for poly relationships get extended. 9. Global warming gets serious. Mass protests, mass buildouts of solutions, mass migrations. 10. Major advancements in space exploration headed by the private sector, like Space X. 11. Advancement in communicating with intelligent non-humans like dolphins. Possibly even the recognition that there are non-human sentient beings.