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* VR finally takes off for real, creating the next app store style payday as killer apps come online. * A VR content studio becomes a billion dollar business
by ericb 7y ago
* VR finally takes off for real, creating the next app store style payday as killer apps come online.
* A VR content studio becomes a billion dollar business
* At the end of the 2020's, China hits a demographic wall it can't easily recover from.
* The ICE collapse begins in earnest in the latter half of 2020's.
* Bitcoin's value will crater as the untethering happens (See NY AG lawsuit), leading to a crypto winter
* Google has entered "Day 2" and will have a major competitor in the next 10 years. Day 2 can be seen by the anti-consumer wall of paid results it has, just like the stodgy competitors it beat 10 years ago had. Also, founders left.
* SPA's will be considered an anti pattern
* Massive recession hits
* Inflation
* Tesla becomes Amazon sized due to the intersection of falling battery prices, solar prices, and the tipping point for ICE practicality
- DavidSJ 7y agoSo far you're the only username from the 2010's thread to have also made predictions in this one: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025787 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025787 How do you feel you did?
- ericb 7y agoNot too well. I feel like a chunk of them could still work for the next ten years. I think the timing is the tricky part. For example, for this year's 10 year predictions, my China prediction would be better off a little farther out to have a higher likelihood. I'm interested to see if betting on big trends make this batch any more accurate.