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1. Merging of mobile/desktop OS (i.e. iOS and MacOS becoming one and the same). 2. A Microsoft first-party Android device is launched, following a similar atta
by 2bitencryption 7y ago
1. Merging of mobile/desktop OS (i.e. iOS and MacOS becoming one and the same).
2. A Microsoft first-party Android device is launched, following a similar attack strategy they are currently starting with Edge on Chromium: fork, improve, destroy.
3. ARM takes over... actually, a more bold prediction: x86-64 remains king, and ARM is not able to conquer beyond the mobile market, despite present-day feelers.
4. Self driving cars master 95% of driving scenarios but struggle with enough "uncommon" scenarios that it winds up in a PR nightmare (youtube searches for "AutoPilot accident" lands results with millions of views) and doesn't revolutionize much except pizza delivery and long-haul trucks.
5. Theater chains push hard for Movie-pass style subscriptions (I mean, harder than they already have). Netflix purchases a small theater chain that shows its own films for free to subscribers, with excellent snacks for purchase. (or has this already happened?)
6. Disney Plus struggles with choosing consolidating the Disney "family friendly" brand and the sort of Game of Thrones gore-fest content demanded by millions of subscribers, leading to either a rebranding or an off-shoot for "adults" a la "Adult Swim" or "Nick at Night".
7. At least one of the big streaming services (Cockatoo or whatever NBC has?) throws in the towel and merges with another.
8. Hong Kong remains in turmoil for all of the 2020s.
9. Rust becomes the poster child of systems programming (or has it already), and goes from relatively niche to a must-have for new hires in just about any software industry.
10. Working remotely is still a pipe-dream heralded by a lucky subset of HN posters.
11. A battery breakthrough revolutionizes mobile devices and elevates electric cars to make combustion engines even more obsolete.
edit:
12. Extremely accurate diagnoses by AI makes healthcare cheaper (but not cheap), faster (but not fast), and a group of clueless people (think anti-vaxx) will refuse to ever be diagnosed by a machine and instead demand a "real doctor".
- majewsky 7y ago> attack strategy [that Microsoft is] starting with Edge on Chromium: fork, improve, destroy Can you enlighten me on the "improve" and "destroy" parts of that strategy? For all I know, Edgium is Chrome with Google services replaced by Microsoft services.
- 2bitencryption 7y agoI'm just being cute :) It's the "if you can't beat them, fork them" strategy that I think will pay off in the end. "Improve" and "Destroy" are both rather optional.
- petecox 7y ago5. I'd expect various bricks-and-mortar cinema chains to go bust or amalgamate, thanks to online distribution and 8K TV.
- cpeterso 7y ago> Netflix purchases a small theater chain that shows its own films for free to subscribers, with excellent snacks for purchase. (or has this already happened?) Not yet but Netflix recently bought and reopened New York City’s iconic Paris Theater (ostensibly to host limited showings of Netflix Original films so they're eligible for Academy Awards). They’re also interested in purchasing the Egyptian Theater in Hollywood. https://www.theverge.com/2019/11/25/20982216/netflix-paris-theater-movies-new-york-oscars-irishman-marriage-story-egyptian https://www.theverge.com/2019/11/25/20982216/netflix-paris-t...
- tonyedgecombe 7y agoI really hope you are wrong on your first point, everywhere else this has been tried it has not worked very well.