4 ms·
> people overestimate what will happen in a year and underestimate what will happen in a decade. Last decade seemed like the opposite. So much happened every y
by jl2718 7y ago
> people overestimate what will happen in a year and underestimate what will happen in a decade.
Last decade seemed like the opposite. So much happened every year, but nothing changed over the decade. The biggest change seems to be the expansion of aggrieved classes to include almost everybody. This only applies to “the West” of course. Changes elsewhere are perhaps striking.
- dwaltrip 7y agoThere are enormous changes ocurring. Rapid development of less developed countries, complete commoditization of computing power, secularization of america (catching up to Europe), revizitalizion of the space industry (SpaceX and other "new space" companies, smallsats, internet constellations, etc), amazing resurgence of psychedelic research, prosthetics and other biotech advancing rapidly, continued progress in many fundamental technologies (batteries, materials science, robotics, BMIs, etc), AI technologies, information representation and communication (changes in media, continued digitalization of business, etc). The list goes on and on.
- gfodor 7y agoI agree - the list of technologies (not just bits and atoms, but human institutions) winding their way along the innovation cycle leaves many, many reasons to feel confident the next decade is going to be one of profound, transformative, positive change. One potential dark horse is genetic engineering. I wonder how close we are to the point where kids are doing gene hacking after school. It could happen this decade.