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Yes, that's another example of tuning the parameter-space for a possible answer, just an unlikely one. Yes, maybe the Milky Way is just chock full of highly ad
by aetherson 7y ago
Yes, that's another example of tuning the parameter-space for a possible answer, just an unlikely one. Yes, maybe the Milky Way is just chock full of highly advanced technological species who have all made themselves very hard to detect and none of whom have any interest in communications with other intelligent life.
But a simpler explanation that has many more paths to being true is "there's nothing out there."
To be clear, I don't think the evidence suggests near-certainty here. I wouldn't say that there's a 99% chance that we're alone in the galaxy. But it's also not a wide open field. There is some evidence, and so far that evidence suggests that we're likely alone.
- ohazi 7y agoI think your assumptions about what is hard and what is easy to detect need some recalibrating. Alien life forms wouldn't need to use technology to make themselves harder to detect. It's extremely difficult by default. They would need to use technology to deliberately spread a message in a way that is at all likely to be detectable, and even then would still have to get quite lucky.