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Their operating premise was to assume that Germany would suffer successive defeats. They theorized specifically about what might happen to Hitler as the war unf
by pp19dd 7y ago
Their operating premise was to assume that Germany would suffer successive defeats. They theorized specifically about what might happen to Hitler as the war unfolded and Germany shrank, to prepare counter-propaganda efforts. The list is a mixed bag.
1. Dies of natural causes - "remote possibility." Best outcome if he died of a common disease to break 'the myth of his super-natural origins.'
2. Seeks asylum - "extremely unlikely." They suspected he'd restrain himself from escaping.
3. Killed in battle - "real possibility."
4. Assassinated - "undesirable" because of martyrdom.
5. Goes insane - "has many characteristics which border on the schizophrenic."
6. Seized in revolt - "unlikely"
7. Captured - "most unlikely possibility of all."
8. Commits suicide - "most plausible."
Some smart people there, but they're not fortune tellers and didn't claim to be.
The PDF: https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP78-02646R000600240001-5.pdf https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP78-02646...