I don't see why you believe this. From my perspective, all the recent gains in AI abilities is purely due to faster hardware. But, due to the combinatorics of

I don't see why you believe this. From my perspective, all the recent gains in AI abilities is purely due to faster hardware. But, due to the combinatorics of search spaces, exponential speed increase only gets you linear AI improvements. So, we'll rapidly hit peak AI in the near future, falling way short of even emulating human abilities. As it is, compare the amount of processing, space and energy humans have to expend to perform equivalent tasks to computers, and there is no comparison. Computers are extraordinary orders of magnitude inferior to human performance. The only reason there is the appearance of parity is because we are not looking at the back end of what it takes computers to accomplish these tasks. It is like we flipped a coin to create the works of Shakespeare, and waited the many eons necessary for just the right sequence to occur. We then say a coin is just as capable as Shakespeare, but that's only because we've ignored how much effort it took to flip the coin vs how much effort it took Shakespeare. So, I'm not arguing our motors will not become bigger. I'm arguing that as our motors become bigger, the returns are diminishing exponentially, much more rapidly than can get us to true human parity.