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An afterthought: I suspect this is done subconsciously too quite often by people in such fields as part of their evidence seeking (hypothesis confirmation) proc
by krnsll 7y ago
An afterthought: I suspect this is done subconsciously too quite often by people in such fields as part of their evidence seeking (hypothesis confirmation) procedures which are admittedly more adhoc than those sort of naturally built into many STEM fields (I'm sure someone could provide numerous counterexamples to this latter point though, especially with the replication crisis).
- xkcd-sucks 7y agoEven in the "quantitative" fields, one must have random inspiration to make a novel idea; faith to go to the effort of the researching it, ego to believe it's worthwhile; and drive to get things done by force of will to survive re: job+funding. An interesting combination of qualities. On top of that, many concepts are only feasible to measure by using human-invented models+metrics, under very tightly controlled conditions. Oftentimes these metrics' equivalence to real-world circumstances is matter of faith or philosophy. So everything is untrustworthy. The people doing it can be totally incompetent even in making simple observations. They can be wilfully or negligently unaware of competing evidence or errors in analysis. They can be measuring the wrong thing entirely due to historical precedent or because it's good publicity or because it's impossible to measure the thing you really want to test. Ultimately this probably shouldn't be surprising to anyone that's experienced the real world practice of anything. But it is worth remembering that anecdotal evidence from your own eyes can be more predictive than statistical evidence from strangers.