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I'm curious about your heartburn with the "cone of uncertainty" from Code Complete. I think it's a very reasonable model for understanding software estimation u

I'm curious about your heartburn with the "cone of uncertainty" from Code Complete. I think it's a very reasonable model for understanding software estimation uncertainty. What don't you like about it?

diego_moita 7y ago
It is a dream situation, an abstraction too simplistic and dangerously optimistic. In all projects I've been the project takes "one more month to finish" for the next 15 months. The cone metaphor simply ignores all unknown unknowns. For a more deep criticism check "The Leprechauns of Software Engineering": https://leanpub.com/leprechauns/read_sample https://leanpub.com/leprechauns/read_sample