3 ms·
Because I can see the future? ;) Foresight is 20/20. See my comment that is a child of (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21703179 https://news.ycombinato
by dnautics 7y ago
Because I can see the future? ;)
Foresight is 20/20. See my comment that is a child of (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21703179 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21703179)
It was obvious that this was going to happen. NASA was giving a pass to Boeing on a lot of things,there was lots of organizational pressure to not screw it up, and it failed its previous test due to careless error.
Sadly the put order I placed did not execute because I don't know how to effectively trade in illiquid markets yet.
- jacquesm 7y agoYou'd have done well on that one. That's why I asked how you knew, it was a pretty bold prediction and to see it come true like that is quite a thing. Pity you didn't answer sooner!
- dnautics 7y agoHaha it's not the first time I've made s spectacular long prediction. I correctly predicted Sarah Palin being the us vice presidential candidate a full six months before it happened.
- jacquesm 7y agoThat was so totally, terribly bad for McCain that I thought he would never ever go for it. You really should put some money on these, looks like you're going to be well off. OTOH of course then you'll score a long string of 0's....
- dnautics 7y agoI don't really know how to find these information markets. Sometimes the predictions I make aren't really tradeable, like that time I told my coworker that the house he bought would be beneath a volcano in 15 years (that one came true last year). I also correctly predicted a few startup-relevant things like that theranos was nonsense (prediction circa 2011) and that sriraj raval was kind of a snake. I've also made some duds like predicting that catalunya would successfully secede.