4 ms·

> but not bad enough to destroy the company. Not very much, including the impending launch disaster tomorrow, would destroy Boeing. The us can't let it fail,

> but not bad enough to destroy the company. Not very much, including the impending launch disaster tomorrow, would destroy Boeing. The us can't let it fail, it's too big.

jacquesm 7y ago
> including the impending launch disaster tomorrow I think you mean tonight, and why do you think it will be a disaster? https://www.nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/170 https://www.nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/170
- dnautics 7y ago
  Because I can see the future? ;) Foresight is 20/20. See my comment that is a child of (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21703179 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21703179) It was obvious that this was going to happen. NASA was giving a pass to Boeing on a lot of things,there was lots of organizational pressure to not screw it up, and it failed its previous test due to careless error. Sadly the put order I placed did not execute because I don't know how to effectively trade in illiquid markets yet.
  - jacquesm 7y ago
    You'd have done well on that one. That's why I asked how you knew, it was a pretty bold prediction and to see it come true like that is quite a thing. Pity you didn't answer sooner!
    - dnautics 7y ago
      Haha it's not the first time I've made s spectacular long prediction. I correctly predicted Sarah Palin being the us vice presidential candidate a full six months before it happened.
      - jacquesm 7y ago
        That was so totally, terribly bad for McCain that I thought he would never ever go for it. You really should put some money on these, looks like you're going to be well off. OTOH of course then you'll score a long string of 0's....
        dnautics 7y ago
        I don't really know how to find these information markets. Sometimes the predictions I make aren't really tradeable, like that time I told my coworker that the house he bought would be beneath a volcano in 15 years (that one came true last year). I also correctly predicted a few startup-relevant things like that theranos was nonsense (prediction circa 2011) and that sriraj raval was kind of a snake. I've also made some duds like predicting that catalunya would successfully secede.

> but not bad enough to destroy the company. Not very much, including the impending launch disaster tomorrow, would destroy Boeing. The us can't let it fail, it's too big.

jacquesm 7y ago

> including the impending launch disaster tomorrow I think you mean tonight, and why do you think it will be a disaster? https://www.nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/170 https://www.nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/170

dnautics 7y ago
Because I can see the future? ;) Foresight is 20/20. See my comment that is a child of (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21703179 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21703179) It was obvious that this was going to happen. NASA was giving a pass to Boeing on a lot of things,there was lots of organizational pressure to not screw it up, and it failed its previous test due to careless error. Sadly the put order I placed did not execute because I don't know how to effectively trade in illiquid markets yet.
- jacquesm 7y ago
  You'd have done well on that one. That's why I asked how you knew, it was a pretty bold prediction and to see it come true like that is quite a thing. Pity you didn't answer sooner!
  - dnautics 7y ago
    Haha it's not the first time I've made s spectacular long prediction. I correctly predicted Sarah Palin being the us vice presidential candidate a full six months before it happened.
    - jacquesm 7y ago
      That was so totally, terribly bad for McCain that I thought he would never ever go for it. You really should put some money on these, looks like you're going to be well off. OTOH of course then you'll score a long string of 0's....
      - dnautics 7y ago
        I don't really know how to find these information markets. Sometimes the predictions I make aren't really tradeable, like that time I told my coworker that the house he bought would be beneath a volcano in 15 years (that one came true last year). I also correctly predicted a few startup-relevant things like that theranos was nonsense (prediction circa 2011) and that sriraj raval was kind of a snake. I've also made some duds like predicting that catalunya would successfully secede.