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> Speaking of rounding errors, you shouldn't vote, either. Quite a few philosophers of politics and radicals would agree with that statement; from SEP[0]: >Th
by claudiawerner 7y ago
> Speaking of rounding errors, you shouldn't vote, either.
Quite a few philosophers of politics and radicals would agree with that statement; from SEP[0]:
>There is some debate among economists and political scientists over the precise way to calculate the probability that a vote will be decisive. Nevertheless, they generally agree that the probability that the modal individual voter in a typical election will break a tie is small, so small that the expected benefit (i.e., p[V(D)−V(R)]) of the modal vote for a good candidate is worth far less than a millionth of a penny (G. Brennan and Lomasky 1993: 56–7, 119). The most optimistic estimate in the literature claims that in a presidential election, an American voter could have as high as a 1 in 10 million chance of breaking a tie, but only if that voter lives in one of three or four “swing states,” and only if she votes for a major-party candidate (Edlin, Gelman, and Kaplan 2007).
Chances are, you can use the time to do other things, things that gain you more benefit than "a millionth of a penny" (if we must use the economism of time = money).
[0] https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/voting/#1 https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/voting/#1
- rconti 7y agoI disagree with it too, but it follows from this silly theory of not taking any action unless it's the biggest possible action.