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That's the conventional wisdom. But Senators aren't as partisan. They thrive on plausible deniability. They're unlikely to overrule Roberts, who will preside, r
by cmurf 7y ago
That's the conventional wisdom. But Senators aren't as partisan. They thrive on plausible deniability. They're unlikely to overrule Roberts, who will preside, rule on motions, witnesses, subpoenas. Even one or two defectors can turn it into a serious trial. There are witnesses and materials being suppressed, if those are subpoenaed, are they significant and relevant? Do they get the public more involved? What if those subpoenas are refused by the president, as he is with House subpoenas? Who blinks? But we've never seen a contentious Senate impeachment trial.
The conventional wisdom, is really speculation. It's not certain. Anyone who claims to know what will happen, doesn't know anything. The more Republican senators insist this is pointless because the outcome is certain, the more it tells me how scared they are about having to make a decision. If they convict, decent chance they get primaried. If they aquit, they risk losing their general election. And they have some sense history books yet to be written are watching.
The Senate can't do anything until the articles are delivered by the House. And right now it looks like that may not happen immediately. That's incredibly unusual. The House wants some assurances of witnesses and documents being produced. They could sit on the articles and string this out for days. Or months.