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Seems unlikely. In 2018 Democrats ran on the promise of holding Trump accountable, quite a few new seats obtained on the promise of impeachment. The House repre

by cmurf 7y ago

Seems unlikely. In 2018 Democrats ran on the promise of holding Trump accountable, quite a few new seats obtained on the promise of impeachment. The House represents the people. The Senate represents land. The House should be partisan. That's their job. And why they're up for election every two years. The constitution requires senators to take an oath when sitting for impeachments. That oath includes one of impartiality. Two senators, including the majority leader, have announced they are expressly not impartial. The majority leader said they are working in total coordination with the defense's lawyers. And that it would be mutual assured destruction to have witnesses. A trial without witnesses, or documents, before a body on oath of impartiality, triers of law and fact. A sham you say?

chatmasta 7y ago
The major difference between midterms and election (whether 2016 or 2020) is that Trump himself wasn’t on the ballot to drive turnout. In fact, it’s not unusual at all for midterms to swing away from the incumbent’s party, like they did in 2018. I don’t want to get too much into political speculation on HN, but Trump is a big turnout driver due to the enthusiasm of his base. If the democratic nominee comes from the current candidates, and something crazy doesn’t happen vis a vis a brokered convention or economic recession, I’d say Trump will probably be re-elected. It will be due primarily to that enthusiasm, but also to independents who may not like the guy, but are happy with the economy and scared of/angry at the Democratic Party. According to most oddsmakers, Trump is currently the favorite to win. Granted that may change when the Democrats select a candidate.