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Tangentially, I heard of a theory that some of the change in political landscape could be due to population life expectency increases and the ratio between youn
by didibus 7y ago
Tangentially, I heard of a theory that some of the change in political landscape could be due to population life expectency increases and the ratio between young and old having diminished.
This is backed up by some research suggesting that people naturally become more conservative as they age.
Not saying that explains the UK elections, but your linked article reminded me of this theory.
- Certhas 7y agoI think there also is good evidence that we are looking more at age cohort effects rather than age effects. After all people who are 39 would not exactly have been considered young a few decades ago. It's a smooth curve but the labour/cons cross over point aligns well with the age of those who were able to build their lives and establish their careers before the early 2000s and after. The economic and societal structure that worked well during the 20th century has not been delivering returns for a while. In the UK this is the generation that will be poorer than the generation before them for the first time [1] until they inherit. I think the changing age structure is massive though. If you had this breakdown of voting behaviour with the age distribution of the 60s when the median age was 32 rather than 42, you are looking at a labour landslide. [1] https://www.ft.com/content/81343d9e-187b-11e8-9e9c-25c814761640 https://www.ft.com/content/81343d9e-187b-11e8-9e9c-25c814761...