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My bottomline prediction: World won't change as fast as we always predict. Case in point [0] the prediction a decade ago on HN. Most of the items on that page a

My bottomline prediction: World won't change as fast as we always predict. Case in point [0] the prediction a decade ago on HN. Most of the items on that page are way off but precisely the reason why it is so hard to predict the future. If I do have to add my guesses, I would say that: - AI/ML hype will fade off and won't really be as mainstream as we want it be right now. - Crypto currency will still not be mainstream. - We will have driverless cars but not mainstream yet. Trucking jobs in the US won't go away as Andrew Yang is predicting them to be. - China and may be even India (due to sheer size and open markets) to an extent will further become more important in World Affairs and US will continue to lose it superpower status even though US will still be very significant overall. - Mainstream news outlets on TV will keep becoming less important as Indie Media outlets on youtube will become more mainstream. Looking at you CNN/MSNBC/FOX news etc. - Gig economy will become more prevalent. A lot of people will start doing their own thing since they cannot find traditional jobs. Not always tech. related but freelance industry will grow even further. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025681 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025681

username90 7y ago
Based of this thread it looks like people were a lot more hopeful about the future 10 years ago than they are today. Back then smart phones were new, the AI winter looked like it was over, Google had just started testing self driving cars etc. But today, Google is still working on the same self driving cars, we are still using smart phones as our main handheld device, and while the AI breakthroughs gave us chatbots and face recognition it hasn't made much progress since. So to me it seems like the exciting years are over as the last decade was probably the least exciting technology wise for a very long time. I'd say we'll need a huge fundamental breakthrough for the next decade to not become even less exciting.

username90 7y ago

Based of this thread it looks like people were a lot more hopeful about the future 10 years ago than they are today. Back then smart phones were new, the AI winter looked like it was over, Google had just started testing self driving cars etc. But today, Google is still working on the same self driving cars, we are still using smart phones as our main handheld device, and while the AI breakthroughs gave us chatbots and face recognition it hasn't made much progress since. So to me it seems like the exciting years are over as the last decade was probably the least exciting technology wise for a very long time. I'd say we'll need a huge fundamental breakthrough for the next decade to not become even less exciting.