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This is completely true. But even the most robust theories in psychology are particularly weak at making predictions. To write the whole field off as having lit
by AmericanChopper 7y ago
This is completely true. But even the most robust theories in psychology are particularly weak at making predictions. To write the whole field off as having little scientific merit would be at the very least a defensible position to take.
All I’m saying is it’s not reasonable to take such a stance selectively against findings that you personally disagree with.
- tomp 7y agoSame in finance, but there are still people making billions in statistically significant ways. Humans are complicated and unpredictable. Any field with 99% noise 1% signal requires different methodologies compared to, say, physics and computer vision ML. But you can still make some inferences and predictions (which, even if 100% "correct" will still only predict the 1% of signal, not the 99% of noise).