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There may be a chasm which needs to be crossed before the steering wheel can fully be removed from a vehicle, but... I have been very impressed with the steady
by zaroth 7y ago
There may be a chasm which needs to be crossed before the steering wheel can fully be removed from a vehicle, but...
I have been very impressed with the steady incremental real-world improvements to AutoPilot over the last 13 months since I got my Model 3. They have added up to a dramatically more adept system which has become an extremely competent highway driver handling lane changes, merges, being cut off, handling poor visibility, lane closures / traffic cones, even things like scooting slightly over to one side of the lane to give a bit more room when passing a large truck.
One example of behavior which has gotten better over the last couple months is during merges where the right lane would appear to widen, prior versions would steer right to try to re-center and then have to steer left to get back in lane, where now the car understands how to keep its path in these situations, even if there isn’t a square-dashed-line drawn to indicate the right side of the right lane continuing.
I think the majority of the miles driven on my Tesla have been driven with AutoPilot. (Actually that would be a really cool feature if the car could show that number.) It’s become indispensable to me, and it keeps getting marginally better every month.
I’m not saying that it is full autonomy, or even that we will get there on the next couple years. But the cumulative progress over the last 12 months has been incredible, and if it continues anywhere near this rate of advancement over the next 24-36 months, I think AutoPilot will be a truly remarkable achievement — as in, approaching a watershed human achievement akin to spaceflight.
- ezzzzz 7y agoYeah but, if I'm not mistaken, autopilot only works on highways. Self-driving in such an environment may be 'close' to a solved problem, but if we are talking about a service capable of picking people up at their door... yeah, I'm not convinced. >I think AutoPilot will be a truly remarkable achievement — as in, approaching a watershed human achievement akin to spaceflight. Just want to point out the irony in this statement. Ok sure, fully autonomous self driving may be a great technological achievement, but it will be an achievement that benefits rent-seeking corporations rather than humanity at large. Sure, the benefits of such a service could allow car-free living at a price cheaper than leasing/owning a car, but this is a benefit that will be reaped by those with means (middle class) while the poor will still be riding the bus or walking. It would also make investment in public transportation even less likely, which would actually result in a net benefit for all.
- zaroth 7y agoTo say nothing of the tens of thousands of lives saved per year, or the trillions of dollars of economic damages avoided and productivity/value created. Full autonomous driving will be a significantly greater accomplishment for humanity than you’re giving it credit for.