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Once you can process high-definition video there is little need for further performance in mass-market processors. Progress thereafter would be mainly in loweri

Once you can process high-definition video there is little need for further performance in mass-market processors. Progress thereafter would be mainly in lowering power consumption, reducing cost, and greater integration of more functions on chip to lower parts counts. Therefore, the business drivers must be mainly server applications in the data center.

jobigoud 7y ago
> Once you can process high-definition video there is little need for further performance in mass-market processors. In the grand scheme of things high-definition video is an extremely low bar for consuming and archiving content. It's totally flat, distorted, has a fixed viewpoint, a tiny field of view, super low dynamic range, etc. It doesn't match what you would see if you were there in the slightest. It's closer to looking at a photography than to being there. We should strive to do better than that. Decoding high-def video is mainly done on the GPU nowadays anyway.
- Merrill 7y ago
  Current video is a pretty good match for the needs of advertisers, who are the major source of funding for video. There is relatively little market for video that is not either free or heavily subsidized by advertisers. TV manufacturers are counting on 8K, OLED, and "smart TV" functions to keep volumes flat by encouraging replacements of what is a durable consumer good. LCD TVs seem to be quite long-lived.
  - PaulHoule 7y ago
    Production costs go up a lot when you increase the resolution because then you can see all the details they don't want you to see.
rbanffy 7y ago
When we can process HD video, we come up with 4K. When we do 4K, we come up with 4K HDR. When we are done with that, we'll go for higher FPS. Or surround video. And then in stereo. And then do it with voxels and multiple depth channels from different PoV's. And we didn't even start with intelligent assistants that don't require sharing your data with a cloud-based entity. I thought once my 20" 1200x1600 8-bit color CRT was all I'd ever need.
Tempest1981 7y ago
What about software developers, who want the fastest possible compiles? Too small of a market to care?

jobigoud 7y ago

> Once you can process high-definition video there is little need for further performance in mass-market processors. In the grand scheme of things high-definition video is an extremely low bar for consuming and archiving content. It's totally flat, distorted, has a fixed viewpoint, a tiny field of view, super low dynamic range, etc. It doesn't match what you would see if you were there in the slightest. It's closer to looking at a photography than to being there. We should strive to do better than that. Decoding high-def video is mainly done on the GPU nowadays anyway.

Merrill 7y ago
Current video is a pretty good match for the needs of advertisers, who are the major source of funding for video. There is relatively little market for video that is not either free or heavily subsidized by advertisers. TV manufacturers are counting on 8K, OLED, and "smart TV" functions to keep volumes flat by encouraging replacements of what is a durable consumer good. LCD TVs seem to be quite long-lived.
- PaulHoule 7y ago
  Production costs go up a lot when you increase the resolution because then you can see all the details they don't want you to see.

rbanffy 7y ago

When we can process HD video, we come up with 4K. When we do 4K, we come up with 4K HDR. When we are done with that, we'll go for higher FPS. Or surround video. And then in stereo. And then do it with voxels and multiple depth channels from different PoV's. And we didn't even start with intelligent assistants that don't require sharing your data with a cloud-based entity. I thought once my 20" 1200x1600 8-bit color CRT was all I'd ever need.

Tempest1981 7y ago

What about software developers, who want the fastest possible compiles? Too small of a market to care?