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What if Moore’s law drys up in the next decade? What if quantum computers never ‘happen’? If those two things are true then Unix will still be around I believe
by npo9 7y ago
What if Moore’s law drys up in the next decade? What if quantum computers never ‘happen’?
If those two things are true then Unix will still be around I believe. Just like Diesel engines are still around.
- pegasus 7y agoThat's exactly what could force us to rethink our technological architecture from the ground up. No way is what we have now even close to optimal in terms of using existing resources. But it's been good enough thanks in no small part to those predictable performance gains won at the hardware level.
- rhinoceraptor 7y agoMoore's law is effectively dried up. We're at or within sight of the physical limits.
- npo9 7y agoI’d describe Moore’s law drying up within the next decade as a 40% likelihood, and it would really hurt a lot of products and companies. For example, this might be the last video game console generation.
- rhinoceraptor 7y agoTo put it in perspective, 7nm is 35 silicon atoms wide. So we have a handful of process shrinks left before we absolutely cannot go any smaller.
- erik_seaberg 7y agoDies do have room to expand into the third dimension, if they can solve heat dissipation.
- ksec 7y agoNot quite "at" yet, IEDM 2019 effectively confirms Sub 1 nm possibilities. Whether it is economically viable remains an open question.