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You cannot tell whether a self-driving car kills less people than human drivers because to get the same statistical significance we have on human driving you'd
by wnkrshm 7y ago
You cannot tell whether a self-driving car kills less people than human drivers because to get the same statistical significance we have on human driving you'd need 84 billion hours of data from real autonomous driving within a year, and unbiased across all of the roads of the US.
- gtirloni 7y agoSource?
- DevX101 7y agoAmericans drive ~70 billion hours each year. You don't need autonomous cars to drive that anywhere near that volume to determine whether it is safer than humans. To prove with 95% probability (arbitrary but widely agreed upon standard) that autonomous cars are safer than humans could be done with much less driving hours. This is how clinical trials work. We don't need to give a new drug to every patient with heart disease to conclusively determine it's effective. > to get the same statistical significance we have on human driving I don't know what this phrase means.