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According to Sir John Glubb in The Fate of Empires [0], the average civilization descends into chaos at about 250 years / 10 generations. For the US, that woul
by duelingjello 7y ago
According to Sir John Glubb in The Fate of Empires [0], the average civilization descends into chaos at about 250 years / 10 generations. For the US, that would be roughly 2026.
On another measuring stick about the unmooring of sexual relationship conventions, a society declines around 50 years later, according to a recent post [1]. That would suppose about now, around 2020.
Furthermore, "fall" of empire maybe too discrete/definitive of a word, "slow decline" or "weakened" maybe more apropos. And what comes next could well be an invasion, overthrow, mass exodus, hermit kingdom, revolution or stalled/irrelevant society. It's hard to point at exactly when something started and when it ended with "living" structures of socio-econo-political orders.
0. http://people.uncw.edu/kozloffm/glubb.pdf http://people.uncw.edu/kozloffm/glubb.pdf
1. https://www.kirkdurston.com/blog/unwin https://www.kirkdurston.com/blog/unwin
- Fjolsvith 7y agoHow long after constitutional republic founding did previous nations last?