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Sure, interest rates set by most major central banks have been at historical lows, between 0% and 2% for the last 10 years, since the last crisis. And it doesn’
by dharma1 7y ago
Sure, interest rates set by most major central banks have been at historical lows, between 0% and 2% for the last 10 years, since the last crisis. And it doesn’t look like it’s possible to raise them much in the next few years - the economy has become accustomed to low rates and can’t take a rate hike. Nor will it be possible to lower them much (since they already close to zero) in case there is another downturn and the central banks need to stimulate. I don’t think we have ever seen such a long period of low rates before, so this is relatively uncharted waters.
Inflation of consumer goods, which central banks have a mandate to track, is still relatively low, mostly thanks to low oil prices. But if you look at the prices of financial assets, you’ll see a lot of “inflation” hiding there thanks to money printing and low rates of the past 10 years.
- eru 7y agoActually, real interest rates on eg American government bonds haven't been that low by 20th century standards. We saw much more negative real interest rates before. Especially after taxes. https://www.minneapolisfed.org/article/2016/real-interest-rates-over-the-long-run https://www.minneapolisfed.org/article/2016/real-interest-ra... Nominal interest rates however are very low, because nominal GDP growth is low.